Winter Day Featuring a Thermometer Showing Freezing Temperatures in Snowy Landscape at Sunrise, Converting Fahrenheit (F) to Celsius (C)

Forecasting

Converting Temperature Deltas

March 4, 2026

Not long ago, I attended a conference where the discussion turned to studies that described various rates of temperature increases due to climate disruption. In one case, the study described a 0.7 degree (Fahrenheit) increase per decade. The question arose: what would that be in Celsius? I did not have a response at that moment, but I do now.  

First, this discussion is not about the accuracy of the temperature increase estimates, nor is it about whether climate disruption is happening or if human activity is causing it. Those are interesting questions, but I won’t be addressing them here.  

The following is the well-known formula for converting Fahrenheit (F) to Celsius (C): 

1.  

Let’s now consider the formula for a specific temperature value, which we will define as F1 and C1: 

2.  

We can construct an analogous formula for a different temperature value, F2 and C2: 

3.  

We will first rearrange the terms of equations (2) and (3), multiplying through by 5/9: 

4.  

5.  
 

Next, we can subtract equation (4) from the equation (5), leaving the following: 

6.  

The main point is the constant portion of the equation (i.e., (5/9) x 32) falls out. 

Returning to our original question, we can substitute 0.7 into equation (6). In this context, we don’t know the values of F1 and F2. In fact, we don’t actually care what they are. 

7.  

Equation (7) simplifies to the following, with rounding:  

8.  

In this case, we are not interested in the point estimates of C1 or C2. Rather, we are only interested in the difference between the two points, which is 0.4 degrees Celsius.  

The conclusion is that converting a temperature difference from Fahrenheit to Celsius simply requires multiplying the Fahrenheit delta by 5/9. Of course, converting a temperature difference from Celsius to Fahrenheit requires multiplying the Celsius delta by the inverse: 9/5. If this question ever arises for you at a conference, a job interview, or a cocktail hour, you too will now be able to respond authoritatively.  

By Rich Simons


Principal Forecast Consultant


Since joining Itron in 2000, Mr. Simons has developed, implemented and supported numerous day-ahead and real-time forecasting systems for Independent System Operators (ISOs), retailers, distribution companies, cooperatives and wholesale generators, including NYISO, IESO, TVA, Consolidated Edison, NRG Energy, PSEG and Vectren. Mr. Simons has implemented systems to support budget & long-term forecasting, weather-normalization, and unbilled-energy estimation for municipal utilities, electric cooperatives and investor-owned utilities, including Ameren, Entergy and FirstEnergy. Mr. Simons has developed forecasting and analysis solutions for municipal water utilities and has developed several customized applications and models for forecasting revenues, managing bills, weather-normalizing sales and estimating unbilled energy. Mr. Simons has reconfigured, streamlined and deployed load research systems at multiple utilities including United Illuminating, Indianapolis Power & Light, TECO Energy, NVEnergy, Colorado Springs Utilities and Lincoln Electric. Mr. Simons has implemented real-time natural gas forecasting systems to support operations at Vectren Energy and Consolidated Edison. In 2019 and 2020, Mr. Simons was a key team-member on a well-publicized report for NYISO to analyze long-term weather trends across the New York state.


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